[{"keyword":["Multi-model","Water availability","Europe","Ensemble","Lake evaporation","Latent heat flux"],"publication_status":"published","volume":177,"date_created":"2024-12-08T18:51:13Z","author":[{"last_name":"La Fuente","full_name":"La Fuente, Sofia","first_name":"Sofia"},{"first_name":"Eleanor","full_name":"Jennings, Eleanor","last_name":"Jennings"},{"last_name":"Lenters","full_name":"Lenters, John D.","first_name":"John D."},{"last_name":"Verburg","first_name":"Piet","full_name":"Verburg, Piet"},{"last_name":"Kirillin","first_name":"Georgiy","full_name":"Kirillin, Georgiy"},{"first_name":"Tom","orcid":"0000-0002-4520-7916","id":"86424","full_name":"Shatwell, Tom","last_name":"Shatwell"},{"last_name":"Couture","first_name":"Raoul-Marie","full_name":"Couture, Raoul-Marie"},{"first_name":"Marianne","full_name":"Côté, Marianne","last_name":"Côté"},{"last_name":"Vinnå","full_name":"Vinnå, C. Love Råman","first_name":"C. Love Råman"},{"full_name":"Woolway, R. Iestyn","first_name":"R. Iestyn","last_name":"Woolway"}],"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"year":"2024","quality_controlled":"1","main_file_link":[{"url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2","open_access":"1"}],"publication":"Climatic Change","date_updated":"2025-06-25T13:08:30Z","publisher":"Springer","abstract":[{"text":"Lakes represent a vital source of freshwater, accounting for 87% of the Earth’s accessible surface freshwater resources and providing a range of ecosystem services, including water for human consumption. As climate change continues to unfold, understanding the potential evaporative water losses from lakes becomes crucial for effective water management strategies. Here we investigate the impacts of climate change on the evaporation rates of 23 European lakes and reservoirs of varying size during the warm season (July–September). To assess the evaporation trends, we employ a 12-member ensemble of model projections, utilizing three one-dimensional process-based lake models. These lake models were driven by bias-corrected climate simulations from four General Circulation Models (GCMs), considering both a historical (1970–2005) and future (2006–2099) period. Our findings reveal a consistent projection of increased warm-season evaporation across all lakes this century, though the magnitude varies depending on specific factors. By the end of this century (2070–2099), we estimate a 21%, 30% and 42% average increase in evaporation rates in the studied European lakes under RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 2.6, 6.0 and 8.5, respectively. Moreover, future projections of the relationship between precipitation (P) and evaporation (E) in the studied lakes, suggest that P-E will decrease this century, likely leading to a deficit in the availability of surface water. The projected increases in evaporation rates underscore the significance of adapting strategic management approaches for European lakes to cope with the far-reaching consequences of climate change.","lang":"eng"}],"oa":"1","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1573-1480"],"issn":["0165-0009"]},"title":"Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2","citation":{"ama":"La Fuente S, Jennings E, Lenters JD, et al. Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. <i>Climatic Change</i>. 2024;177(12). doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>","chicago-de":"La Fuente, Sofia, Eleanor Jennings, John D. Lenters, Piet Verburg, Georgiy Kirillin, Tom Shatwell, Raoul-Marie Couture, Marianne Côté, C. Love Råman Vinnå und R. Iestyn Woolway. 2024. Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. <i>Climatic Change</i> 177, Nr. 12. doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>, .","chicago":"La Fuente, Sofia, Eleanor Jennings, John D. Lenters, Piet Verburg, Georgiy Kirillin, Tom Shatwell, Raoul-Marie Couture, Marianne Côté, C. Love Råman Vinnå, and R. Iestyn Woolway. “Increasing Warm-Season Evaporation Rates across European Lakes under Climate Change.” <i>Climatic Change</i> 177, no. 12 (2024). <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>.","ieee":"S. La Fuente <i>et al.</i>, “Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change,” <i>Climatic Change</i>, vol. 177, no. 12, Art. no. 173, 2024, doi: <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>.","apa":"La Fuente, S., Jennings, E., Lenters, J. D., Verburg, P., Kirillin, G., Shatwell, T., Couture, R.-M., Côté, M., Vinnå, C. L. R., &#38; Woolway, R. I. (2024). Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. <i>Climatic Change</i>, <i>177</i>(12), Article 173. <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>","bjps":"<b>La Fuente S <i>et al.</i></b> (2024) Increasing Warm-Season Evaporation Rates across European Lakes under Climate Change. <i>Climatic Change</i> <b>177</b>.","mla":"La Fuente, Sofia, et al. “Increasing Warm-Season Evaporation Rates across European Lakes under Climate Change.” <i>Climatic Change</i>, vol. 177, no. 12, 173, 2024, <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>.","din1505-2-1":"<span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\"><span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">La Fuente, Sofia</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Jennings, Eleanor</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Lenters, John D.</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Verburg, Piet</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Kirillin, Georgiy</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Shatwell, Tom</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Couture, Raoul-Marie</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Côté, Marianne</span> ; u. a.</span>: Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. In: <i>Climatic Change</i> Bd. 177. Dordrecht [u.a.] , Springer (2024), Nr. 12","havard":"S. La Fuente, E. Jennings, J.D. Lenters, P. Verburg, G. Kirillin, T. Shatwell, R.-M. Couture, M. Côté, C.L.R. Vinnå, R.I. Woolway, Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change, Climatic Change. 177 (2024).","short":"S. La Fuente, E. Jennings, J.D. Lenters, P. Verburg, G. Kirillin, T. Shatwell, R.-M. Couture, M. Côté, C.L.R. Vinnå, R.I. Woolway, Climatic Change 177 (2024).","van":"La Fuente S, Jennings E, Lenters JD, Verburg P, Kirillin G, Shatwell T, et al. Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. Climatic Change. 2024;177(12).","ufg":"<b>La Fuente, Sofia u. a.</b>: Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change, in: <i>Climatic Change</i> 177 (2024), H. 12."},"external_id":{"isi":["001365861900001"]},"issue":"12","place":"Dordrecht [u.a.] ","user_id":"83781","isi":"1","status":"public","intvolume":"       177","department":[{"_id":"DEP8022"}],"_id":"12207","type":"scientific_journal_article","article_number":"173"},{"issue":"3","citation":{"chicago":"Streitz, Norbert, Carsten Röcker, Thorsten Prante, Daniel van Alphen, Richard Stenzel, and Carsten Magerkurth. “Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments.” <i>Computer : Innovative Technology for Computer Professionals </i> 38, no. 3 (2005): 41 – 49. <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1109/MC.2005.92\">https://doi.org/10.1109/MC.2005.92</a>.","chicago-de":"Streitz, Norbert, Carsten Röcker, Thorsten Prante, Daniel van Alphen, Richard Stenzel und Carsten Magerkurth. 2005. Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments. <i>Computer : innovative technology for computer professionals </i> 38, Nr. 3: 41 – 49. doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1109/MC.2005.92,\">10.1109/MC.2005.92,</a> .","bjps":"<b>Streitz N <i>et al.</i></b> (2005) Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments. <i>Computer : innovative technology for computer professionals </i> <b>38</b>, 41 – 49.","din1505-2-1":"<span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Streitz, Norbert</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Röcker, Carsten</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Prante, Thorsten</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">van Alphen, Daniel</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Stenzel, Richard</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Magerkurth, Carsten</span>: Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments. In: <i>Computer : innovative technology for computer professionals </i> Bd. 38. Piscataway, NJ, IEEE (2005), Nr. 3, S. 41 – 49","van":"Streitz N, Röcker C, Prante T, van Alphen D, Stenzel R, Magerkurth C. Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments. Computer : innovative technology for computer professionals . 2005;38(3):41 – 49.","havard":"N. Streitz, C. Röcker, T. Prante, D. van Alphen, R. Stenzel, C. Magerkurth, Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments, Computer : Innovative Technology for Computer Professionals . 38 (2005) 41 – 49.","ama":"Streitz N, Röcker C, Prante T, van Alphen D, Stenzel R, Magerkurth C. Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments. <i>Computer : innovative technology for computer professionals </i>. 2005;38(3):41 – 49. doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1109/MC.2005.92\">10.1109/MC.2005.92</a>","apa":"Streitz, N., Röcker, C., Prante, T., van Alphen, D., Stenzel, R., &#38; Magerkurth, C. (2005). Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments. <i>Computer : Innovative Technology for Computer Professionals </i>, <i>38</i>(3), 41 – 49. <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1109/MC.2005.92\">https://doi.org/10.1109/MC.2005.92</a>","ieee":"N. Streitz, C. Röcker, T. Prante, D. van Alphen, R. Stenzel, and C. Magerkurth, “Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments,” <i>Computer : innovative technology for computer professionals </i>, vol. 38, no. 3, pp. 41 – 49, 2005.","mla":"Streitz, Norbert, et al. “Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments.” <i>Computer : Innovative Technology for Computer Professionals </i>, vol. 38, no. 3, IEEE, 2005, pp. 41 – 49, doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1109/MC.2005.92\">10.1109/MC.2005.92</a>.","ufg":"<b>Streitz, Norbert et. al. (2005)</b>: Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments, in: <i>Computer : innovative technology for computer professionals </i> <i>38</i> (<i>3</i>), S. 41 – 49.","short":"N. Streitz, C. Röcker, T. Prante, D. van Alphen, R. Stenzel, C. Magerkurth, Computer : Innovative Technology for Computer Professionals  38 (2005) 41 – 49."},"doi":"10.1109/MC.2005.92","title":"Designing Smart Artifacts for Smart Environments","page":"41 – 49","intvolume":"        38","department":[{"_id":"DEP5023"}],"status":"public","place":"Piscataway, NJ","user_id":"15514","_id":"4824","type":"journal_article","date_created":"2021-02-02T10:09:09Z","author":[{"first_name":"Norbert","full_name":"Streitz, Norbert","last_name":"Streitz"},{"last_name":"Röcker","first_name":"Carsten","full_name":"Röcker, Carsten","id":"61525"},{"full_name":"Prante, Thorsten","first_name":"Thorsten","last_name":"Prante"},{"last_name":"van Alphen","first_name":"Daniel","full_name":"van Alphen, Daniel"},{"first_name":"Richard","full_name":"Stenzel, Richard","last_name":"Stenzel"},{"first_name":"Carsten","full_name":"Magerkurth, Carsten","last_name":"Magerkurth"}],"volume":38,"publication_status":"published","keyword":["Personal digital assistants","Refrigeration","Portable computers","Control systems","Roads","Availability","Cellular phones","Communications technology","Humans","Smart homes"],"main_file_link":[{"open_access":"1"}],"year":2005,"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"publisher":"IEEE","date_updated":"2023-03-15T13:49:56Z","publication":"Computer : innovative technology for computer professionals ","publication_identifier":{"issn":["0018-9162 "],"eissn":["1558-0814 "]},"oa":"1","extern":"1","abstract":[{"text":"The integration of information, communication, and sensing technologies into our everyday objects has created smart environments. Creating the smart artifacts that constitute these environments requires augmenting their standard functionality to support a new quality of interaction and behavior.A system-oriented, importunate smartness approach creates an environment that gives individual smart artifacts or the environment itself certain self-directed actions based on previously collected information. For example, a space can be smart by having and exploiting knowledge about the persons and artifacts currently situated within its borders.In contrast, a people-oriented, empowering smartness approach places the empowering function in the foreground by assuming that smart spaces make people smarter. This approach empowers users to make decisions and take actions as mature and responsible people.Although in some cases it might be more efficient if the system doesnýt ask for a userýs feedback and confirmation at every step in an action chain, the overall design rationale should aim to keep the user in the loop and in control whenever possible.","lang":"eng"}]}]
