[{"author":[{"first_name":"Sofia","last_name":"La Fuente","full_name":"La Fuente, Sofia"},{"last_name":"Jennings","full_name":"Jennings, Eleanor","first_name":"Eleanor"},{"first_name":"John D.","full_name":"Lenters, John D.","last_name":"Lenters"},{"first_name":"Piet","last_name":"Verburg","full_name":"Verburg, Piet"},{"first_name":"Georgiy","full_name":"Kirillin, Georgiy","last_name":"Kirillin"},{"orcid":"0000-0002-4520-7916","full_name":"Shatwell, Tom","last_name":"Shatwell","id":"86424","first_name":"Tom"},{"first_name":"Raoul-Marie","full_name":"Couture, Raoul-Marie","last_name":"Couture"},{"first_name":"Marianne","full_name":"Côté, Marianne","last_name":"Côté"},{"first_name":"C. Love Råman","last_name":"Vinnå","full_name":"Vinnå, C. Love Råman"},{"full_name":"Woolway, R. Iestyn","last_name":"Woolway","first_name":"R. Iestyn"}],"intvolume":"       177","isi":"1","publication_identifier":{"issn":["0165-0009"],"eissn":["1573-1480"]},"citation":{"ama":"La Fuente S, Jennings E, Lenters JD, et al. Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. <i>Climatic Change</i>. 2024;177(12). doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>","van":"La Fuente S, Jennings E, Lenters JD, Verburg P, Kirillin G, Shatwell T, et al. Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. Climatic Change. 2024;177(12).","ieee":"S. La Fuente <i>et al.</i>, “Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change,” <i>Climatic Change</i>, vol. 177, no. 12, Art. no. 173, 2024, doi: <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>.","chicago":"La Fuente, Sofia, Eleanor Jennings, John D. Lenters, Piet Verburg, Georgiy Kirillin, Tom Shatwell, Raoul-Marie Couture, Marianne Côté, C. Love Råman Vinnå, and R. Iestyn Woolway. “Increasing Warm-Season Evaporation Rates across European Lakes under Climate Change.” <i>Climatic Change</i> 177, no. 12 (2024). <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>.","bjps":"<b>La Fuente S <i>et al.</i></b> (2024) Increasing Warm-Season Evaporation Rates across European Lakes under Climate Change. <i>Climatic Change</i> <b>177</b>.","din1505-2-1":"<span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\"><span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">La Fuente, Sofia</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Jennings, Eleanor</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Lenters, John D.</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Verburg, Piet</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Kirillin, Georgiy</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Shatwell, Tom</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Couture, Raoul-Marie</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Côté, Marianne</span> ; u. a.</span>: Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. In: <i>Climatic Change</i> Bd. 177. Dordrecht [u.a.] , Springer (2024), Nr. 12","havard":"S. La Fuente, E. Jennings, J.D. Lenters, P. Verburg, G. Kirillin, T. Shatwell, R.-M. Couture, M. Côté, C.L.R. Vinnå, R.I. Woolway, Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change, Climatic Change. 177 (2024).","ufg":"<b>La Fuente, Sofia u. a.</b>: Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change, in: <i>Climatic Change</i> 177 (2024), H. 12.","chicago-de":"La Fuente, Sofia, Eleanor Jennings, John D. Lenters, Piet Verburg, Georgiy Kirillin, Tom Shatwell, Raoul-Marie Couture, Marianne Côté, C. Love Råman Vinnå und R. Iestyn Woolway. 2024. Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. <i>Climatic Change</i> 177, Nr. 12. doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>, .","short":"S. La Fuente, E. Jennings, J.D. Lenters, P. Verburg, G. Kirillin, T. Shatwell, R.-M. Couture, M. Côté, C.L.R. Vinnå, R.I. Woolway, Climatic Change 177 (2024).","apa":"La Fuente, S., Jennings, E., Lenters, J. D., Verburg, P., Kirillin, G., Shatwell, T., Couture, R.-M., Côté, M., Vinnå, C. L. R., &#38; Woolway, R. I. (2024). Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. <i>Climatic Change</i>, <i>177</i>(12), Article 173. <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>","mla":"La Fuente, Sofia, et al. “Increasing Warm-Season Evaporation Rates across European Lakes under Climate Change.” <i>Climatic Change</i>, vol. 177, no. 12, 173, 2024, <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2\">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>."},"place":"Dordrecht [u.a.] ","publication_status":"published","volume":177,"date_created":"2024-12-08T18:51:13Z","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"main_file_link":[{"open_access":"1","url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2"}],"title":"Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change","publication":"Climatic Change","_id":"12207","oa":"1","article_number":"173","type":"scientific_journal_article","publisher":"Springer","issue":"12","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2","date_updated":"2025-06-25T13:08:30Z","quality_controlled":"1","external_id":{"isi":["001365861900001"]},"year":"2024","user_id":"83781","department":[{"_id":"DEP8022"}],"status":"public","keyword":["Multi-model","Water availability","Europe","Ensemble","Lake evaporation","Latent heat flux"],"abstract":[{"text":"Lakes represent a vital source of freshwater, accounting for 87% of the Earth’s accessible surface freshwater resources and providing a range of ecosystem services, including water for human consumption. As climate change continues to unfold, understanding the potential evaporative water losses from lakes becomes crucial for effective water management strategies. Here we investigate the impacts of climate change on the evaporation rates of 23 European lakes and reservoirs of varying size during the warm season (July–September). To assess the evaporation trends, we employ a 12-member ensemble of model projections, utilizing three one-dimensional process-based lake models. These lake models were driven by bias-corrected climate simulations from four General Circulation Models (GCMs), considering both a historical (1970–2005) and future (2006–2099) period. Our findings reveal a consistent projection of increased warm-season evaporation across all lakes this century, though the magnitude varies depending on specific factors. By the end of this century (2070–2099), we estimate a 21%, 30% and 42% average increase in evaporation rates in the studied European lakes under RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 2.6, 6.0 and 8.5, respectively. Moreover, future projections of the relationship between precipitation (P) and evaporation (E) in the studied lakes, suggest that P-E will decrease this century, likely leading to a deficit in the availability of surface water. The projected increases in evaporation rates underscore the significance of adapting strategic management approaches for European lakes to cope with the far-reaching consequences of climate change.","lang":"eng"}]},{"publisher":"Elsevier BV","type":"scientific_journal_article","quality_controlled":"1","date_updated":"2024-12-11T13:18:16Z","doi":"10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729","status":"public","department":[{"_id":"DEP8022"}],"user_id":"83781","year":"2022","abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"Lake evaporation plays an important role in the water budget of lakes. Predicting lake evaporation responses to climate change is thus of paramount importance for the planning of mitigation and adaption strategies. However, most studies that have simulated climate change impacts on lake evaporation have typically utilised a single mechanistic model. Whilst such studies have merit, projected changes in lake evaporation from any single lake model can be considered uncertain. To better understand evaporation responses to climate change, a multi-model approach (i.e., where a range of projections are considered), is desirable. In this study, we present such multi-model analysis, where five lake models forced by four different climate model projections are used to simulate historic and future change (1901–2099) in lake evaporation. Our investigation, which focuses on sub-tropical Lake Kinneret (Israel), suggested considerable differences in simulated evaporation rates among the models, with the annual average evaporation rates varying between 1232 mm year−1 and 2608 mm year−1 during the historic period (1901–2005). We explored these differences by comparing the models with reference evaporation rates estimated using in-situ data (2000–2005) and a bulk aerodynamic algorithm. We found that the model ensemble generally captured the intra-annual variability in reference evaporation rates, and compared well at seasonal timescales (RMSEc = 0.19, R = 0.92). Using the model ensemble, we then projected future change in evaporation rates under three different Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios: RCP 2.6, 6.0 and 8.5. Our projections indicated that, by the end of the 21st century (2070–2099), annual average evaporation rates would increase in Lake Kinneret by 9–22 % under RCPs 2.6–8.5. When compared with projected regional declines in precipitation, our projections suggested that the water balance of Lake Kinneret could experience a deficit of 14–40 % this century. We anticipate this substantial projected deficit combined with a considerable growth in population expected for this region could have considerable negative impacts on water availability and would consequently increase regional water stress."}],"keyword":["Ensemble modelling","Lake evaporation","Climate change","Lake Kinneret"],"extern":"1","volume":615,"publication_status":"published","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"date_created":"2024-12-08T19:49:42Z","citation":{"havard":"S. La Fuente, E. Jennings, G. Gal, G. Kirillin, T. Shatwell, R. Ladwig, T. Moore, R.-M. Couture, M. Côté, C. Love Råman Vinnå, R. Iestyn Woolway, Multi-model projections of future evaporation in a sub-tropical lake, Journal of Hydrology. 615 (2022).","chicago-de":"La Fuente, Sofia, Eleanor Jennings, Gideon Gal, Georgiy Kirillin, Tom Shatwell, Robert Ladwig, Tadhg Moore, u. a. 2022. Multi-model projections of future evaporation in a sub-tropical lake. <i>Journal of Hydrology</i> 615. doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729\">10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729</a>, .","ufg":"<b>La Fuente, Sofia u. a.</b>: Multi-model projections of future evaporation in a sub-tropical lake, in: <i>Journal of Hydrology</i> 615 (2022).","mla":"La Fuente, Sofia, et al. “Multi-Model Projections of Future Evaporation in a Sub-Tropical Lake.” <i>Journal of Hydrology</i>, vol. 615, 128729, 2022, <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729\">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729</a>.","apa":"La Fuente, S., Jennings, E., Gal, G., Kirillin, G., Shatwell, T., Ladwig, R., Moore, T., Couture, R.-M., Côté, M., Love Råman Vinnå, C., &#38; Iestyn Woolway, R. (2022). Multi-model projections of future evaporation in a sub-tropical lake. <i>Journal of Hydrology</i>, <i>615</i>, Article 128729. <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729\">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729</a>","short":"S. La Fuente, E. Jennings, G. Gal, G. Kirillin, T. Shatwell, R. Ladwig, T. Moore, R.-M. Couture, M. Côté, C. Love Råman Vinnå, R. Iestyn Woolway, Journal of Hydrology 615 (2022).","van":"La Fuente S, Jennings E, Gal G, Kirillin G, Shatwell T, Ladwig R, et al. Multi-model projections of future evaporation in a sub-tropical lake. Journal of Hydrology. 2022;615.","ama":"La Fuente S, Jennings E, Gal G, et al. Multi-model projections of future evaporation in a sub-tropical lake. <i>Journal of Hydrology</i>. 2022;615. doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729\">10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729</a>","ieee":"S. La Fuente <i>et al.</i>, “Multi-model projections of future evaporation in a sub-tropical lake,” <i>Journal of Hydrology</i>, vol. 615, Art. no. 128729, 2022, doi: <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729\">10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729</a>.","chicago":"La Fuente, Sofia, Eleanor Jennings, Gideon Gal, Georgiy Kirillin, Tom Shatwell, Robert Ladwig, Tadhg Moore, et al. “Multi-Model Projections of Future Evaporation in a Sub-Tropical Lake.” <i>Journal of Hydrology</i> 615 (2022). <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729\">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128729</a>.","din1505-2-1":"<span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\"><span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">La Fuente, Sofia</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Jennings, Eleanor</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Gal, Gideon</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Kirillin, Georgiy</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Shatwell, Tom</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Ladwig, Robert</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Moore, Tadhg</span> ; <span style=\"font-variant:small-caps;\">Couture, Raoul-Marie</span> ; u. a.</span>: Multi-model projections of future evaporation in a sub-tropical lake. In: <i>Journal of Hydrology</i> Bd. 615. Amsterdam, Elsevier BV (2022)","bjps":"<b>La Fuente S <i>et al.</i></b> (2022) Multi-Model Projections of Future Evaporation in a Sub-Tropical Lake. <i>Journal of Hydrology</i> <b>615</b>."},"place":"Amsterdam","publication_identifier":{"issn":["0022-1694"],"eissn":["1879-2707"]},"author":[{"last_name":"La Fuente","full_name":"La Fuente, Sofia","first_name":"Sofia"},{"first_name":"Eleanor","full_name":"Jennings, Eleanor","last_name":"Jennings"},{"first_name":"Gideon","last_name":"Gal","full_name":"Gal, Gideon"},{"full_name":"Kirillin, Georgiy","last_name":"Kirillin","first_name":"Georgiy"},{"full_name":"Shatwell, Tom","id":"86424","last_name":"Shatwell","first_name":"Tom","orcid":"0000-0002-4520-7916"},{"first_name":"Robert","full_name":"Ladwig, Robert","last_name":"Ladwig"},{"full_name":"Moore, Tadhg","last_name":"Moore","first_name":"Tadhg"},{"full_name":"Couture, Raoul-Marie","last_name":"Couture","first_name":"Raoul-Marie"},{"first_name":"Marianne","full_name":"Côté, Marianne","last_name":"Côté"},{"first_name":"C.","full_name":"Love Råman Vinnå, C.","last_name":"Love Råman Vinnå"},{"first_name":"R.","last_name":"Iestyn Woolway","full_name":"Iestyn Woolway, R."}],"intvolume":"       615","title":"Multi-model projections of future evaporation in a sub-tropical lake","publication":"Journal of Hydrology","article_number":"128729","_id":"12221"}]