---
_id: '13462'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Traditional project management literature often portrays heuristics as flawed
shortcuts leading to errors, advocating for rational, debiasing strategies to
prevent cost overruns and benefit shortfalls. This is problematic as heuristics
can be effective. Building on Gigerenzer’s concept of fast-and-frugal heuristics,
this study examines the use of such smart heuristics by senior managers in a large
engineering consultancy firm during the early bid/no-bid decision-making phase
of infrastructure projects. Employing a qualitative method from the naturalistic
decision-making program, the research uncovers a decision strategy termed "thresholding."
This strategy distills extensive experience and interpretation of ambiguous information
into binary decisions, effectively de-selecting projects that could be potentially
disastrous. The approach also gives credence to agency, as it only deselects disasters
but keeps many potential alternatives in the portfolio to mature into potentially
‘good projects’. At the same time, it addresses Flyvbjerg’s call for some scrutiny
at the front end of projects to avoid catastrophic projects that start on the
wrong premises. Our chapter adds to the debate on the Hiding Hand by not being
concerned with the “hidden”, but instead, with what can be known in the early
fuzzy front-end of projects.
author:
- first_name: ' Joana '
full_name: 'Geraldi, Joana '
last_name: Geraldi
- first_name: 'Verena '
full_name: 'Stingl, Verena '
last_name: Stingl
- first_name: Maximilian
full_name: Schriewersmann, Maximilian
id: '79121'
last_name: Schriewersmann
citation:
ama: 'Geraldi Joana , Stingl V, Schriewersmann M. At the Brink of a Project : Heuristics
to Block Potential Project Disasters during the Early Project Opportunity Screening.
In: Ika LA, Pinto JK, eds. Cambridge Handbook of Project Behavior . Cambridge
University Press; 2025:216-232. doi:10.1017/9781009322737'
apa: 'Geraldi, Joana , Stingl, V., & Schriewersmann, M. (2025). At the Brink
of a Project : Heuristics to Block Potential Project Disasters during the Early
Project Opportunity Screening. In L. A. Ika & J. K. Pinto (Eds.), Cambridge
handbook of project behavior (pp. 216–232). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009322737'
bjps: 'Geraldi Joana , Stingl V and Schriewersmann M (2025) At the Brink
of a Project : Heuristics to Block Potential Project Disasters during the Early
Project Opportunity Screening. In Ika LA and Pinto JK (eds), Cambridge Handbook
of Project Behavior . Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 216–232.'
chicago: 'Geraldi, Joana , Verena Stingl, and Maximilian Schriewersmann. “At the
Brink of a Project : Heuristics to Block Potential Project Disasters during the
Early Project Opportunity Screening.” In Cambridge Handbook of Project Behavior
, edited by Lavagnon A. Ika and Jeffrey K. Pinto, 216–32. Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009322737.'
chicago-de: 'Geraldi, Joana , Verena Stingl und Maximilian Schriewersmann. 2025.
At the Brink of a Project : Heuristics to Block Potential Project Disasters during
the Early Project Opportunity Screening. In: Cambridge handbook of project
behavior , hg. von Lavagnon A. Ika und Jeffrey K. Pinto, 216–232. Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781009322737,
.'
din1505-2-1: 'Geraldi, Joana ; Stingl, Verena ; Schriewersmann,
Maximilian: At the Brink of a Project : Heuristics to Block Potential Project
Disasters during the Early Project Opportunity Screening. In: Ika,
L. A. ; Pinto, J. K. (Hrsg.):
Cambridge handbook of project behavior . Cambridge : Cambridge University
Press, 2025, S. 216–232'
havard: 'Joana Geraldi, V. Stingl, M. Schriewersmann, At the Brink of a Project :
Heuristics to Block Potential Project Disasters during the Early Project Opportunity
Screening, in: L.A. Ika, J.K. Pinto (Eds.), Cambridge Handbook of Project Behavior
, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2025: pp. 216–232.'
ieee: 'Joana Geraldi, V. Stingl, and M. Schriewersmann, “At the Brink of a Project :
Heuristics to Block Potential Project Disasters during the Early Project Opportunity
Screening,” in Cambridge handbook of project behavior , L. A. Ika and J.
K. Pinto, Eds. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2025, pp. 216–232. doi:
10.1017/9781009322737.'
mla: 'Geraldi, Joana , et al. “At the Brink of a Project : Heuristics to Block
Potential Project Disasters during the Early Project Opportunity Screening.” Cambridge
Handbook of Project Behavior , edited by Lavagnon A. Ika and Jeffrey K. Pinto,
Cambridge University Press, 2025, pp. 216–32, https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009322737.'
short: 'Joana Geraldi, V. Stingl, M. Schriewersmann, in: L.A. Ika, J.K. Pinto (Eds.),
Cambridge Handbook of Project Behavior , Cambridge University Press, Cambridge,
2025, pp. 216–232.'
ufg: 'Geraldi, Joana /Stingl, Verena/Schriewersmann, Maximilian: At the
Brink of a Project : Heuristics to Block Potential Project Disasters during the
Early Project Opportunity Screening, in: Ika, Lavagnon A./Pinto, Jeffrey K.
(Hgg.): Cambridge handbook of project behavior , Cambridge 2025, S. 216–232.'
van: 'Geraldi Joana , Stingl V, Schriewersmann M. At the Brink of a Project : Heuristics
to Block Potential Project Disasters during the Early Project Opportunity Screening.
In: Ika LA, Pinto JK, editors. Cambridge handbook of project behavior . Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press; 2025. p. 216–32.'
date_created: 2026-03-03T10:55:34Z
date_updated: 2026-03-03T12:03:38Z
department:
- _id: DEP1100
doi: 10.1017/9781009322737
editor:
- first_name: Lavagnon A.
full_name: Ika, Lavagnon A.
last_name: Ika
- first_name: Jeffrey K.
full_name: Pinto, Jeffrey K.
last_name: Pinto
keyword:
- heuristics
- decision making
- project behaviour
- hiding hand
- bid/no-bid decision
language:
- iso: eng
page: 216 - 232
place: Cambridge
publication: 'Cambridge handbook of project behavior '
publication_identifier:
eisbn:
- '9781009322737'
isbn:
- '9781009322768'
- '9781009322775'
publication_status: published
publisher: Cambridge University Press
status: public
title: 'At the Brink of a Project : Heuristics to Block Potential Project Disasters
during the Early Project Opportunity Screening'
type: book_chapter
user_id: '83781'
year: '2025'
...
---
_id: '6078'
author:
- first_name: Carolin
full_name: Beckmann, Carolin
id: '67613'
last_name: Beckmann
citation:
ama: 'Beckmann C. Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung von Secondhand
Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand Concept-Store.
Lemgo: Technische Hochschule OWL; 2021.'
apa: 'Beckmann, C. (2021). Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung
von Secondhand Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand
Concept-Store. Lemgo: Technische Hochschule OWL.'
bjps: 'Beckmann C (2021) Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung
von Secondhand Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand
Concept-Store. Lemgo: Technische Hochschule OWL.'
chicago: 'Beckmann, Carolin. Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung
von Secondhand Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand
Concept-Store. Lemgo: Technische Hochschule OWL, 2021.'
chicago-de: 'Beckmann, Carolin. 2021. Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der
Darstellung von Secondhand Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs
für einen Secondhand Concept-Store. Lemgo: Technische Hochschule OWL.'
din1505-2-1: 'Beckmann, Carolin: Imagewandel
sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung von Secondhand Unternehmen und Konzeption
eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand Concept-Store. Lemgo : Technische
Hochschule OWL, 2021'
havard: C. Beckmann, Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung von Secondhand
Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand Concept-Store,
Technische Hochschule OWL, Lemgo, 2021.
ieee: 'C. Beckmann, Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung von
Secondhand Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand
Concept-Store. Lemgo: Technische Hochschule OWL, 2021.'
mla: Beckmann, Carolin. Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung
von Secondhand Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand
Concept-Store. Technische Hochschule OWL, 2021.
short: C. Beckmann, Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung von Secondhand
Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand Concept-Store,
Technische Hochschule OWL, Lemgo, 2021.
ufg: 'Beckmann, Carolin (2021): Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der
Darstellung von Secondhand Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs
für einen Secondhand Concept-Store, Lemgo.'
van: 'Beckmann C. Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung von Secondhand
Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand Concept-Store.
Lemgo: Technische Hochschule OWL; 2021.'
date_created: 2021-08-26T13:36:57Z
date_updated: 2023-03-15T13:50:03Z
ddc:
- '760'
department:
- _id: DEP2001
file:
- access_level: open_access
content_type: application/pdf
creator: z0b-3ts
date_created: 2021-08-26T13:51:11Z
date_updated: 2021-08-26T14:15:44Z
file_id: '6080'
file_name: Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung von Secondhand
Unternehmen und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand-Concept-Store.pdf
file_size: 41599842
relation: main_file
file_date_updated: 2021-08-26T14:15:44Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
keyword:
- Second-hand
- Secondhandmode
- Secondhandshop
- Nachhaltigkeit
- CorporateDesign
language:
- iso: ger
oa: '1'
place: Lemgo
publication_status: published
publisher: Technische Hochschule OWL
status: public
supervisor:
- first_name: 'Anke '
full_name: 'Stache, Anke '
last_name: Stache
title: Imagewandel sichtbar machen – Analyse der Darstellung von Secondhand Unternehmen
und Konzeption eines Corporate Designs für einen Secondhand Concept-Store
type: bachelor_thesis
user_id: '15514'
year: 2021
...
---
_id: '4259'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: This paper presents a prototype of an intelligent assistive system for workers
in stationary manual assembly using projection-based augmented reality (AR) and
intelligent hand tracking. By using depth cameras, the system can track the hands
of the user and makes the user aware of wrong picking actions or errors in the
assembly process. The system automatically adapts the digital projection-based
overlay according to the current work situation. The main research contribution
of our work is the presentation of a novel hand-tracking algorithm. In addition,
we present the results of an user study of the system that shows the challenges
and opportunities of our system and the hand-tracking algorithm in particular.
We assume that our results will inform the future design of assistive systems
in manual assembly.
author:
- first_name: Sebastian
full_name: Büttner, Sebastian
id: '61868'
last_name: Büttner
- first_name: Oliver
full_name: Sand, Oliver
last_name: Sand
- first_name: Carsten
full_name: Röcker, Carsten
id: '61525'
last_name: Röcker
citation:
ama: 'Büttner S, Sand O, Röcker C. Exploring Design Opportunities for Intelligent
Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based AR and a Novel Hand-Tracking
Algorithm. In: European Conference on Ambient Intelligence. Vol 10217. Lecture
Notes in Computer Science . Cham: Springer; 2017:33-45. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-56997-0_3'
apa: 'Büttner, S., Sand, O., & Röcker, C. (2017). Exploring Design Opportunities
for Intelligent Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based AR and
a Novel Hand-Tracking Algorithm. In European Conference on Ambient Intelligence
(Vol. 10217, pp. 33–45). Cham: Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-56997-0_3'
bjps: 'Büttner S, Sand O and Röcker C (2017) Exploring Design Opportunities
for Intelligent Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based AR and
a Novel Hand-Tracking Algorithm. European Conference on Ambient Intelligence,
vol. 10217. Cham: Springer, pp. 33–45.'
chicago: 'Büttner, Sebastian, Oliver Sand, and Carsten Röcker. “Exploring Design
Opportunities for Intelligent Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based
AR and a Novel Hand-Tracking Algorithm.” In European Conference on Ambient
Intelligence, 10217:33–45. Lecture Notes in Computer Science . Cham: Springer,
2017. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-56997-0_3.'
chicago-de: 'Büttner, Sebastian, Oliver Sand und Carsten Röcker. 2017. Exploring
Design Opportunities for Intelligent Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based
AR and a Novel Hand-Tracking Algorithm. In: European Conference on Ambient
Intelligence, 10217:33–45. Lecture Notes in Computer Science . Cham: Springer.
doi:10.1007/978-3-319-56997-0_3,
.'
din1505-2-1: 'Büttner, Sebastian ;
Sand, Oliver ; Röcker,
Carsten: Exploring Design Opportunities for Intelligent Worker Assistance:
A New Approach Using Projetion-Based AR and a Novel Hand-Tracking Algorithm. In:
European Conference on Ambient Intelligence, Lecture Notes in Computer
Science . Bd. 10217. Cham : Springer, 2017, S. 33–45'
havard: 'S. Büttner, O. Sand, C. Röcker, Exploring Design Opportunities for Intelligent
Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based AR and a Novel Hand-Tracking
Algorithm, in: European Conference on Ambient Intelligence, Springer, Cham, 2017:
pp. 33–45.'
ieee: 'S. Büttner, O. Sand, and C. Röcker, “Exploring Design Opportunities for Intelligent
Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based AR and a Novel Hand-Tracking
Algorithm,” in European Conference on Ambient Intelligence, Malaga, Spain,
2017, vol. 10217, pp. 33–45.'
mla: 'Büttner, Sebastian, et al. “Exploring Design Opportunities for Intelligent
Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based AR and a Novel Hand-Tracking
Algorithm.” European Conference on Ambient Intelligence, vol. 10217, Springer,
2017, pp. 33–45, doi:10.1007/978-3-319-56997-0_3.'
short: 'S. Büttner, O. Sand, C. Röcker, in: European Conference on Ambient Intelligence,
Springer, Cham, 2017, pp. 33–45.'
ufg: 'Büttner, Sebastian et. al. (2017): Exploring Design Opportunities for
Intelligent Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based AR and a Novel
Hand-Tracking Algorithm, in: European Conference on Ambient Intelligence
(= Lecture Notes in Computer Science 10217), Cham, S. 33–45.'
van: 'Büttner S, Sand O, Röcker C. Exploring Design Opportunities for Intelligent
Worker Assistance: A New Approach Using Projetion-Based AR and a Novel Hand-Tracking
Algorithm. In: European Conference on Ambient Intelligence. Cham: Springer; 2017.
p. 33–45. ( Lecture Notes in Computer Science ; vol. 10217).'
conference:
end_date: 2017-04-28
location: ' Malaga, Spain'
name: 13. European Conference on Ambient Intelligence
start_date: 2017-04-26
date_created: 2020-12-10T13:40:11Z
date_updated: 2023-03-15T13:49:51Z
department:
- _id: DEP5023
doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-56997-0_3
intvolume: ' 10217'
keyword:
- Augmented reality
- Mobile projection
- Hand tracking
- Manufacturing
- Industry 4.0
language:
- iso: eng
page: 33-45
place: Cham
publication: European Conference on Ambient Intelligence
publication_identifier:
eisbn:
- 978-3-319-56997-0
isbn:
- 978-3-319-56996-3
publication_status: published
publisher: Springer
series_title: ' Lecture Notes in Computer Science '
status: public
title: 'Exploring Design Opportunities for Intelligent Worker Assistance: A New Approach
Using Projetion-Based AR and a Novel Hand-Tracking Algorithm'
type: conference
user_id: '15514'
volume: 10217
year: 2017
...