---
_id: '12233'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: The thermal structure in reservoirs affects the development of aquatic ecosystems,
and can be substantially influenced by climate change and management strategies.
We applied a two-dimensional hydrodynamic model to explore the response of the
thermal structure in Germany's largest drinking water reservoir, Rappbode Reservoir,
to future climate projections and different water withdrawal strategies. We used
projections for representative concentration pathways (RCP) 2.6, 6.0 and 8.5 from
an ensemble of 4 different global climate models. Simulation results showed that
epilimnetic water temperatures in the reservoir strongly increased under all three
climate scenarios. Hypolimnetic temperatures remained rather constant under RCP
2.6 and RCP 6.0 but increased markedly under RCP 8.5. Under the intense warming
in RCP 8.5, hypolimnion temperatures were projected to rise from 5 °C to 8 °C
by the end of the century. Stratification in the reservoir was projected to be
more stable under RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5, but did not show significant changes under
RCP 2.6. Similar results were found with respect to the light intensity within
the mixed-layer. Moreover, the results suggested that surface withdrawal can be
an effective adaptation strategy under strong climate warming (RCP 8.5) to reduce
surface warming and avoid hypolimnetic warming. This study documents how global
scale climate projections can be translated into site-specific climate impacts
to derive adaptation strategies for reservoir operation. Moreover, our results
illustrate that the most intense warming scenario, i.e. RCP 8.5, demands far-reaching
climate adaptation while the mitigation scenario (RCP 2.6) does not require adaptation
of reservoir management before 2100.
article_number: '141366'
author:
- first_name: Chenxi
full_name: Mi, Chenxi
last_name: Mi
- first_name: Tom
full_name: Shatwell, Tom
id: '86424'
last_name: Shatwell
orcid: 0000-0002-4520-7916
- first_name: Jun
full_name: Ma, Jun
last_name: Ma
- first_name: Yaqian
full_name: Xu, Yaqian
last_name: Xu
- first_name: Fangli
full_name: Su, Fangli
last_name: Su
- first_name: Karsten
full_name: Rinke, Karsten
last_name: Rinke
citation:
ama: 'Mi C, Shatwell T, Ma J, Xu Y, Su F, Rinke K. Ensemble warming projections
in Germany’s largest drinking water reservoir and potential adaptation strategies.
The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific
research into the environment and its relationship with man. 2020;748(12).
doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366'
apa: 'Mi, C., Shatwell, T., Ma, J., Xu, Y., Su, F., & Rinke, K. (2020). Ensemble
warming projections in Germany’s largest drinking water reservoir and potential
adaptation strategies. The Science of the Total Environment : An International
Journal for Scientific Research into the Environment and Its Relationship with
Man, 748(12), Article 141366. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366'
bjps: 'Mi C et al. (2020) Ensemble Warming Projections in Germany’s
Largest Drinking Water Reservoir and Potential Adaptation Strategies. The science
of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into
the environment and its relationship with man 748.'
chicago: 'Mi, Chenxi, Tom Shatwell, Jun Ma, Yaqian Xu, Fangli Su, and Karsten Rinke.
“Ensemble Warming Projections in Germany’s Largest Drinking Water Reservoir and
Potential Adaptation Strategies.” The Science of the Total Environment : An
International Journal for Scientific Research into the Environment and Its Relationship
with Man 748, no. 12 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366.'
chicago-de: 'Mi, Chenxi, Tom Shatwell, Jun Ma, Yaqian Xu, Fangli Su und Karsten
Rinke. 2020. Ensemble warming projections in Germany’s largest drinking water
reservoir and potential adaptation strategies. The science of the total environment :
an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its
relationship with man 748, Nr. 12. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366,
.'
din1505-2-1: 'Mi, Chenxi ; Shatwell,
Tom ; Ma, Jun ; Xu,
Yaqian ; Su, Fangli ; Rinke, Karsten: Ensemble warming projections
in Germany’s largest drinking water reservoir and potential adaptation strategies.
In: The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific
research into the environment and its relationship with man Bd. 748. Amsterdam,
Elsevier BV (2020), Nr. 12'
havard: 'C. Mi, T. Shatwell, J. Ma, Y. Xu, F. Su, K. Rinke, Ensemble warming projections
in Germany’s largest drinking water reservoir and potential adaptation strategies,
The Science of the Total Environment : An International Journal for Scientific
Research into the Environment and Its Relationship with Man. 748 (2020).'
ieee: 'C. Mi, T. Shatwell, J. Ma, Y. Xu, F. Su, and K. Rinke, “Ensemble warming
projections in Germany’s largest drinking water reservoir and potential adaptation
strategies,” The science of the total environment : an international journal
for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man,
vol. 748, no. 12, Art. no. 141366, 2020, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366.'
mla: 'Mi, Chenxi, et al. “Ensemble Warming Projections in Germany’s Largest Drinking
Water Reservoir and Potential Adaptation Strategies.” The Science of the Total
Environment : An International Journal for Scientific Research into the Environment
and Its Relationship with Man, vol. 748, no. 12, 141366, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366.'
short: 'C. Mi, T. Shatwell, J. Ma, Y. Xu, F. Su, K. Rinke, The Science of the Total
Environment : An International Journal for Scientific Research into the Environment
and Its Relationship with Man 748 (2020).'
ufg: 'Mi, Chenxi u. a.: Ensemble warming projections in Germany’s largest
drinking water reservoir and potential adaptation strategies, in: The science
of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into
the environment and its relationship with man 748 (2020), H. 12.'
van: 'Mi C, Shatwell T, Ma J, Xu Y, Su F, Rinke K. Ensemble warming projections
in Germany’s largest drinking water reservoir and potential adaptation strategies.
The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific
research into the environment and its relationship with man. 2020;748(12).'
date_created: 2024-12-08T20:23:26Z
date_updated: 2024-12-09T11:18:40Z
department:
- _id: DEP8022
doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 748'
issue: '12'
keyword:
- Rappbode Reservoir
- Thermal structure
- Climate change
- CE-QUAL-W2
- Selective water withdrawal
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- url: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141366
place: Amsterdam
publication: 'The science of the total environment : an international journal for
scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man'
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- 1879-1026
issn:
- 0048-9697
publication_status: published
publisher: Elsevier BV
quality_controlled: '1'
status: public
title: Ensemble warming projections in Germany's largest drinking water reservoir
and potential adaptation strategies
type: scientific_journal_article
user_id: '83781'
volume: 748
year: '2020'
...