---
_id: '12207'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: Lakes represent a vital source of freshwater, accounting for 87% of the Earth’s
    accessible surface freshwater resources and providing a range of ecosystem services,
    including water for human consumption. As climate change continues to unfold,
    understanding the potential evaporative water losses from lakes becomes crucial
    for effective water management strategies. Here we investigate the impacts of
    climate change on the evaporation rates of 23 European lakes and reservoirs of
    varying size during the warm season (July–September). To assess the evaporation
    trends, we employ a 12-member ensemble of model projections, utilizing three one-dimensional
    process-based lake models. These lake models were driven by bias-corrected climate
    simulations from four General Circulation Models (GCMs), considering both a historical
    (1970–2005) and future (2006–2099) period. Our findings reveal a consistent projection
    of increased warm-season evaporation across all lakes this century, though the
    magnitude varies depending on specific factors. By the end of this century (2070–2099),
    we estimate a 21%, 30% and 42% average increase in evaporation rates in the studied
    European lakes under RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 2.6, 6.0 and 8.5,
    respectively. Moreover, future projections of the relationship between precipitation
    (P) and evaporation (E) in the studied lakes, suggest that P-E will decrease this
    century, likely leading to a deficit in the availability of surface water. The
    projected increases in evaporation rates underscore the significance of adapting
    strategic management approaches for European lakes to cope with the far-reaching
    consequences of climate change.
article_number: '173'
author:
- first_name: Sofia
  full_name: La Fuente, Sofia
  last_name: La Fuente
- first_name: Eleanor
  full_name: Jennings, Eleanor
  last_name: Jennings
- first_name: John D.
  full_name: Lenters, John D.
  last_name: Lenters
- first_name: Piet
  full_name: Verburg, Piet
  last_name: Verburg
- first_name: Georgiy
  full_name: Kirillin, Georgiy
  last_name: Kirillin
- first_name: Tom
  full_name: Shatwell, Tom
  id: '86424'
  last_name: Shatwell
  orcid: 0000-0002-4520-7916
- first_name: Raoul-Marie
  full_name: Couture, Raoul-Marie
  last_name: Couture
- first_name: Marianne
  full_name: Côté, Marianne
  last_name: Côté
- first_name: C. Love Råman
  full_name: Vinnå, C. Love Råman
  last_name: Vinnå
- first_name: R. Iestyn
  full_name: Woolway, R. Iestyn
  last_name: Woolway
citation:
  ama: La Fuente S, Jennings E, Lenters JD, et al. Increasing warm-season evaporation
    rates across European lakes under climate change. <i>Climatic Change</i>. 2024;177(12).
    doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2">10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>
  apa: La Fuente, S., Jennings, E., Lenters, J. D., Verburg, P., Kirillin, G., Shatwell,
    T., Couture, R.-M., Côté, M., Vinnå, C. L. R., &#38; Woolway, R. I. (2024). Increasing
    warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate change. <i>Climatic
    Change</i>, <i>177</i>(12), Article 173. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>
  bjps: <b>La Fuente S <i>et al.</i></b> (2024) Increasing Warm-Season Evaporation
    Rates across European Lakes under Climate Change. <i>Climatic Change</i> <b>177</b>.
  chicago: La Fuente, Sofia, Eleanor Jennings, John D. Lenters, Piet Verburg, Georgiy
    Kirillin, Tom Shatwell, Raoul-Marie Couture, Marianne Côté, C. Love Råman Vinnå,
    and R. Iestyn Woolway. “Increasing Warm-Season Evaporation Rates across European
    Lakes under Climate Change.” <i>Climatic Change</i> 177, no. 12 (2024). <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>.
  chicago-de: La Fuente, Sofia, Eleanor Jennings, John D. Lenters, Piet Verburg, Georgiy
    Kirillin, Tom Shatwell, Raoul-Marie Couture, Marianne Côté, C. Love Råman Vinnå
    und R. Iestyn Woolway. 2024. Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European
    lakes under climate change. <i>Climatic Change</i> 177, Nr. 12. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2">10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>,
    .
  din1505-2-1: '<span style="font-variant:small-caps;"><span style="font-variant:small-caps;">La
    Fuente, Sofia</span> ; <span style="font-variant:small-caps;">Jennings, Eleanor</span>
    ; <span style="font-variant:small-caps;">Lenters, John D.</span> ; <span style="font-variant:small-caps;">Verburg,
    Piet</span> ; <span style="font-variant:small-caps;">Kirillin, Georgiy</span>
    ; <span style="font-variant:small-caps;">Shatwell, Tom</span> ; <span style="font-variant:small-caps;">Couture,
    Raoul-Marie</span> ; <span style="font-variant:small-caps;">Côté, Marianne</span>
    ; u. a.</span>: Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes
    under climate change. In: <i>Climatic Change</i> Bd. 177. Dordrecht [u.a.] , Springer
    (2024), Nr. 12'
  havard: S. La Fuente, E. Jennings, J.D. Lenters, P. Verburg, G. Kirillin, T. Shatwell,
    R.-M. Couture, M. Côté, C.L.R. Vinnå, R.I. Woolway, Increasing warm-season evaporation
    rates across European lakes under climate change, Climatic Change. 177 (2024).
  ieee: 'S. La Fuente <i>et al.</i>, “Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across
    European lakes under climate change,” <i>Climatic Change</i>, vol. 177, no. 12,
    Art. no. 173, 2024, doi: <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2">10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>.'
  mla: La Fuente, Sofia, et al. “Increasing Warm-Season Evaporation Rates across European
    Lakes under Climate Change.” <i>Climatic Change</i>, vol. 177, no. 12, 173, 2024,
    <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2</a>.
  short: S. La Fuente, E. Jennings, J.D. Lenters, P. Verburg, G. Kirillin, T. Shatwell,
    R.-M. Couture, M. Côté, C.L.R. Vinnå, R.I. Woolway, Climatic Change 177 (2024).
  ufg: '<b>La Fuente, Sofia u. a.</b>: Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across
    European lakes under climate change, in: <i>Climatic Change</i> 177 (2024), H.
    12.'
  van: La Fuente S, Jennings E, Lenters JD, Verburg P, Kirillin G, Shatwell T, et
    al. Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate
    change. Climatic Change. 2024;177(12).
date_created: 2024-12-08T18:51:13Z
date_updated: 2025-06-25T13:08:30Z
department:
- _id: DEP8022
doi: 10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2
external_id:
  isi:
  - '001365861900001'
intvolume: '       177'
isi: '1'
issue: '12'
keyword:
- Multi-model
- Water availability
- Europe
- Ensemble
- Lake evaporation
- Latent heat flux
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
  url: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03830-2
oa: '1'
place: 'Dordrecht [u.a.] '
publication: Climatic Change
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1573-1480
  issn:
  - 0165-0009
publication_status: published
publisher: Springer
quality_controlled: '1'
status: public
title: Increasing warm-season evaporation rates across European lakes under climate
  change
type: scientific_journal_article
user_id: '83781'
volume: 177
year: '2024'
...