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<titleInfo><title>Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage</title></titleInfo>


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<name type="personal">
  <namePart type="given">Andreas</namePart>
  <namePart type="family">Otte</namePart>
  <role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm> </role><identifier type="local">51466</identifier></name>
<name type="personal">
  <namePart type="given">Eva</namePart>
  <namePart type="family">Scheideler</namePart>
  <role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm> </role><identifier type="local">61522</identifier></name>
<name type="personal">
  <namePart type="given">Franz-Josef</namePart>
  <namePart type="family">Villmer</namePart>
  <role><roleTerm type="text">author</roleTerm> </role><identifier type="local">14290</identifier></name>



<name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Franz-Josef</namePart><namePart type="family">Villmer</namePart>
  <role> <roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm> </role></name>
<name type="personal"><namePart type="given">Elio</namePart><namePart type="family">Padoano</namePart>
  <role> <roleTerm type="text">editor</roleTerm> </role></name>




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  <identifier type="local">DEP7000</identifier>
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  <identifier type="local">DEP1306</identifier>
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<name type="conference">
  <namePart>Proceedings 6th International Conference</namePart>
</name>






<abstract lang="eng">Due to steadily increased demand for customized products, as well as their enhanced complexity and shorter product lifecycles, companies in all industries require a reliable prediction of the expected product development costs from the very start of product realization. Incorrectly estimated project costs may lead to serious consequences in the course of a development project. For example, offers are most often based on such early cost estimations and consequently, a major safety margin has to be added, which may result in the refusal of an order. A too low estimation of the costs of aproduct development project, on the other hand, may result in a loss for the project.In this paper, a software tool is presented for the prediction of product development costs which offers the user the ability to create a more accurate prediction of project costs on the basis of a minimum of retrograde project information. By combining a parametric cost model and cost result with stochastic character, based on the Monte Carlo method, in one software system, it is possible to significantly improve projectcost estimations.</abstract>

<originInfo><dateIssued encoding="w3cdtf">2016</dateIssued><place><placeTerm type="text">Lemgo</placeTerm></place>
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<language><languageTerm authority="iso639-2b" type="code">eng</languageTerm>
</language>

<subject><topic>Cost prediction</topic><topic>Product realization projects</topic><topic>Monte Carlo method</topic><topic>Parametric cost model</topic><topic>Software tool</topic>
</subject>


<relatedItem type="host"><titleInfo><title>Department of Production Engineering and Management</title></titleInfo>
  <identifier type="isbn">978-3-946856-00-9</identifier>
<part><detail type="issue"><number>1</number></detail><extent unit="pages">281-292</extent>
</part>
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<relatedItem type="Supplementary material">
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     <url>https://www.hs-owl.de/fileadmin/diman/Veroeffentlichungen/PEM_2016_Proceeding_2016_09_14_Inhaltsnavigation.pdf</url>
  
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<short>A. Otte, E. Scheideler, F.-J. Villmer, in: F.-J. Villmer, E. Padoano, Department of Production Engineering and Management (Eds.), Department of Production Engineering and Management, Lemgo, 2016, pp. 281–292.</short>
<din1505-2-1>&lt;span style=&quot;font-variant:small-caps;&quot;&gt;Otte, Andreas&lt;/span&gt; ; &lt;span style=&quot;font-variant:small-caps;&quot;&gt;Scheideler, Eva&lt;/span&gt; ; &lt;span style=&quot;font-variant:small-caps;&quot;&gt;Villmer, Franz-Josef&lt;/span&gt;: Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage. In: &lt;span style=&quot;font-variant:small-caps;&quot;&gt;Villmer, F.-J.&lt;/span&gt; ; &lt;span style=&quot;font-variant:small-caps;&quot;&gt;Padoano, E.&lt;/span&gt; ; &lt;span style=&quot;font-variant:small-caps;&quot;&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/span&gt; (Hrsg.): &lt;i&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/i&gt;. Lemgo, 2016, S. 281–292</din1505-2-1>
<chicago>Otte, Andreas, Eva Scheideler, and Franz-Josef Villmer. “Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage.” In &lt;i&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/i&gt;, edited by Franz-Josef Villmer, Elio Padoano, and Department of Production Engineering and Management, 281–92. Lemgo, 2016.</chicago>
<ieee>A. Otte, E. Scheideler, and F.-J. Villmer, “Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage,” in &lt;i&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/i&gt;, Lemgo, 2016, no. 1, pp. 281–292.</ieee>
<van>Otte A, Scheideler E, Villmer F-J. Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage. In: Villmer F-J, Padoano E, Department of Production Engineering and Management, editors. Department of Production Engineering and Management. Lemgo; 2016. p. 281–92.</van>
<mla>Otte, Andreas, et al. “Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage.” &lt;i&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/i&gt;, edited by Franz-Josef Villmer et al., no. 1, 2016, pp. 281–92.</mla>
<ufg>&lt;b&gt;Otte, Andreas et. al. (2016)&lt;/b&gt;: Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage, in: Franz-Josef Villmer et. al. (Hgg.): &lt;i&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/i&gt;, Lemgo, S. 281–292.</ufg>
<apa>Otte, A., Scheideler, E., &amp;#38; Villmer, F.-J. (2016). Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage. In F.-J. Villmer, E. Padoano, &amp;#38; Department of Production Engineering and Management (Eds.), &lt;i&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/i&gt; (pp. 281–292). Lemgo.</apa>
<havard>A. Otte, E. Scheideler, F.-J. Villmer, Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage, in: F.-J. Villmer, E. Padoano, Department of Production Engineering and Management (Eds.), Department of Production Engineering and Management, Lemgo, 2016: pp. 281–292.</havard>
<ama>Otte A, Scheideler E, Villmer F-J. Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage. In: Villmer F-J, Padoano E, Department of Production Engineering and Management, eds. &lt;i&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/i&gt;. Lemgo; 2016:281-292.</ama>
<chicago-de>Otte, Andreas, Eva Scheideler und Franz-Josef Villmer. 2016. Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage. In: &lt;i&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/i&gt;, hg. von Franz-Josef Villmer, Elio Padoano, und Department of Production Engineering and Management, 281–292. Lemgo.</chicago-de>
<bjps>&lt;b&gt;Otte A, Scheideler E and Villmer F-J&lt;/b&gt; (2016) Project Cost Estimator - A Parameter-Based Tool to Predict Product Realization Costs at a Very Early Stage. In Villmer F-J, Padoano E and Department of Production Engineering and Management (eds), &lt;i&gt;Department of Production Engineering and Management&lt;/i&gt;. Lemgo, pp. 281–292.</bjps>
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