Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change
R.I. Woolway, S. Sharma, G.A. Weyhenmeyer, A. Debolskiy, M. Golub, D. Mercado-Bettín, M. Perroud, V. Stepanenko, Z. Tan, L. Grant, R. Ladwig, J. Mesman, T.N. Moore, T. Shatwell, I. Vanderkelen, J.A. Austin, C.L. DeGasperi, M. Dokulil, S. La Fuente, E.B. Mackay, S.G. Schladow, S. Watanabe, R. Marcé, D.C. Pierson, W. Thiery, E. Jennings, Nature Communications 12 (2021).
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Zeitschriftenaufsatz (wiss.)
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| Englisch
Autor*in
Woolway, R. Iestyn;
Sharma, Sapna;
Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A.;
Debolskiy, Andrey;
Golub, Malgorzata;
Mercado-Bettín, Daniel;
Perroud, Marjorie;
Stepanenko, Victor;
Tan, Zeli;
Grant, Luke;
Ladwig, Robert;
Mesman, Jorrit
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Alle
Einrichtung
Abstract
One of the most important physical characteristics driving lifecycle events in lakes is stratification. Already subtle variations in the timing of stratification onset and break-up (phenology) are known to have major ecological effects, mainly by determining the availability of light, nutrients, carbon and oxygen to organisms. Despite its ecological importance, historic and future global changes in stratification phenology are unknown. Here, we used a lake-climate model ensemble and long-term observational data, to investigate changes in lake stratification phenology across the Northern Hemisphere from 1901 to 2099. Under the high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenario, stratification will begin 22.0 ± 7.0 days earlier and end 11.3 ± 4.7 days later by the end of this century. It is very likely that this 33.3 ± 11.7 day prolongation in stratification will accelerate lake deoxygenation with subsequent effects on nutrient mineralization and phosphorus release from lake sediments. Further misalignment of lifecycle events, with possible irreversible changes for lake ecosystems, is also likely.
Erscheinungsjahr
Zeitschriftentitel
Nature Communications
Band
12
Zeitschriftennummer
1
Artikelnummer
2318
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ELSA-ID
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Woolway RI, Sharma S, Weyhenmeyer GA, et al. Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. Nature Communications. 2021;12(1). doi:10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4
Woolway, R. I., Sharma, S., Weyhenmeyer, G. A., Debolskiy, A., Golub, M., Mercado-Bettín, D., Perroud, M., Stepanenko, V., Tan, Z., Grant, L., Ladwig, R., Mesman, J., Moore, T. N., Shatwell, T., Vanderkelen, I., Austin, J. A., DeGasperi, C. L., Dokulil, M., La Fuente, S., … Jennings, E. (2021). Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. Nature Communications, 12(1), Article 2318. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4
Woolway RI et al. (2021) Phenological Shifts in Lake Stratification under Climate Change. Nature Communications 12.
Woolway, R. Iestyn, Sapna Sharma, Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer, Andrey Debolskiy, Malgorzata Golub, Daniel Mercado-Bettín, Marjorie Perroud, et al. “Phenological Shifts in Lake Stratification under Climate Change.” Nature Communications 12, no. 1 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4.
Woolway, R. Iestyn, Sapna Sharma, Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer, Andrey Debolskiy, Malgorzata Golub, Daniel Mercado-Bettín, Marjorie Perroud, u. a. 2021. Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. Nature Communications 12, Nr. 1. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4, .
Woolway, R. Iestyn ; Sharma, Sapna ; Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A. ; Debolskiy, Andrey ; Golub, Malgorzata ; Mercado-Bettín, Daniel ; Perroud, Marjorie ; Stepanenko, Victor ; u. a.: Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. In: Nature Communications Bd. 12. London, Springer Nature (2021), Nr. 1
R.I. Woolway, S. Sharma, G.A. Weyhenmeyer, A. Debolskiy, M. Golub, D. Mercado-Bettín, M. Perroud, V. Stepanenko, Z. Tan, L. Grant, R. Ladwig, J. Mesman, T.N. Moore, T. Shatwell, I. Vanderkelen, J.A. Austin, C.L. DeGasperi, M. Dokulil, S. La Fuente, E.B. Mackay, S.G. Schladow, S. Watanabe, R. Marcé, D.C. Pierson, W. Thiery, E. Jennings, Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change, Nature Communications. 12 (2021).
R. I. Woolway et al., “Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change,” Nature Communications, vol. 12, no. 1, Art. no. 2318, 2021, doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4.
Woolway, R. Iestyn, et al. “Phenological Shifts in Lake Stratification under Climate Change.” Nature Communications, vol. 12, no. 1, 2318, 2021, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22657-4.
Woolway, R. Iestyn u. a.: Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change, in: Nature Communications 12 (2021), H. 1.
Woolway RI, Sharma S, Weyhenmeyer GA, Debolskiy A, Golub M, Mercado-Bettín D, et al. Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change. Nature Communications. 2021;12(1).